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Showing posts from December, 2015

THIS Butterfly -- Smashing teacups for a better tomorrow

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This is a followup to two different posts (which you may want to go take a look at if you haven't):
Which Butterfly? Looking ahead on your pathsAntifragile, a Magical Introduction Part Two In Which Butterfly? I suggested that the most interesting use for divination was not to tell the future, but to identify what actions now will get you to the future you want (which butterfly do you startle to get the right hurricane, see?). The reading in this post is a first pass on that kind of thing (there is a more elaborate general reading in the works). In the second part of my Antifragile series, I mentioned a fourth option for dealing with fragility in your life -- smash it.



But first a clarification. In the risk management post, I talked about four options for dealing with risks:  Accept: Do nothing and accept the risk as is.Avoid: Dodge the situation so that it doesn't affect you. Strengthen/Mitigate: Reduce the impact by being more robust or mitigating the risk.Benefit/Gain: Turn th…

Mind War: Part 3 -- How much do you trust your government?

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A couple of years ago, we realized that some of our mail was getting stolen. Particularly some Christmas checks and cash from well-meaning relatives. We purchased a locking box, but the issue continued. We ended up working with a postal investigator. She would send us tempting looking cards and letters and call us to see if they arrived.

When she called to let us know that the issue was resolved and we wouldn't have any more problems, she was evasive and vague. But I can tell you that we had a new postal carrier the very next day. And in the following year we had enough issues with our mail delivery (notes saying that our mailbox was blocked and they would no longer deliver, mail in the street -- locking box, remember?) that we ended up getting a PO Box for a time. Retaliation, I figure.

Maybe you're cynic enough to just nod and say "yeah, that's how it goes." But I can't help thinking, you know, if you can't trust mail to come, then doesn't that tell…